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Thursday, August 16, 2012

$EURUSD

$EURUSD was lower overnight and is testing support marked by the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2278.

Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 1.2140 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

If September renews the rally off July's low, the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 126.07 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 1.2450.
Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 1.2607.

First support is the reaction low crossing at 1.2140.
Second support is July's low crossing at 1.2051.