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Monday, December 17, 2012

$EURUSD Morning Commentary

$EURUSD higher on Friday as it extends this week's rally and is testing September's high crossing at 1.3188. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. 

Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above September's high crossing at 1.3188 would confirm an upside breakout of a three and a half month trading range. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2981 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. 

First resistance is September's high crossing at 1.3188. 
Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 1.3287. 

First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2981. 
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.2760.