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Thursday, December 20, 2012

$USDCAD Evening Commentary

USDCAD closed slightly higher on Thursday as it consolidates some of this month's decline. The high-range close sets the stagefor a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. 

Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 100.83 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at .10166 is the next upside target. 

First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 101.58. 
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at .10166. 

First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 100.83. 
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 100.46.