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Thursday, February 14, 2013

$GBPUSD

GBPUSD closed sharply lower on Wednesday and below the 75% retracement level of 2012's rally crossing at 1.5598 as it extends this winter's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. 

Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's decline, the 87% retracement level of 2012's rally crossing at 1.5478 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.5767 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. 

First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.5767. 
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.5874. 

First support is today's low crossing at 1.5520. 
Second support is the 87% retracement level of 2012's rally crossing at 1.5478.